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November 20
(published at 3:00pm est on
Nov 17th for Nov 2oth)
August 29, 2003
(published at 5:45pm est. on Aug.
29th for Sep. 1st)
As expected in
the last Daily Show, AUD buyers gathered enough
strength to punch through 0.6430 resistance and
reached 0.6470 level before letting up in Friday's
session. The rest of the majors also followed with
their own rush of buying recovery. We waived off our
ill-fated JPY 119.80 sell position and are now
turning our attention to the new set of market
situations for the coming month. To help orient our
trading posture, we first check with the SAM
signals, which are still definitively buying DOW,
Dollar Index, and selling all majors except JPY.
With JPY buyers stubbornly adding their weight upon
117.30 support (and subsequently collapsing it),
buyers for other majors are also flexing their
muscles as spotted by our near-term indicators and
beginning to gang up against USD. Such buying
activities would be carried on by its current
momentum onto next week where key battles may be
fought for the control of EUR 1.1080, SWF 1.3870,
and GBP 1.5930. JPY, aided with its freshly turned
SAM "buy" signal and the latest success of breaking
117.30 support, is expected to have a free ride
downward until landing in the low 115.00s. The area
of 117.30-70 now becomes a resistance zone where
buyers may re-enter and re-establish their position
for further probing to the downside. CAD buyers will
try to join their JPY counterparts by breaking its
own key support zone of 1.3800-1.3770. AUD's
bullishness, having persisted early in the week,
looks less than fully charged for the coming week.
Its upside potential is likely limited under 0.6530,
which may still turn back another selling wave to
retest the 0.6400 support. For detailed
illustrations, please review all of our charts.
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Cut loss on JPY's 119.80 sell at 116.80.
Sold AUD at 0.6470, RRR-200/+50pts, or settle profit
by close.
Sold CAD at 1.3880, RRR-200/+50pts, or settle profit
by close.
Hold CAD's 1.3980 sell, RRR-200/+50pts, or settle
profit by close.
Wait to sell EUR at 1.1080, RR-50/+200pts, or settle
profit by close.
Wait to sell SWF at 1.3870, RRR-50/+200pts, or
settle profit by close.
Wait to sell GBP at 1.5930, RRR-50/+200pts, or
settle profit by close.
Wait to sell buy JPY 117.70, RRR-150/+200pts, or
settle profit by close.