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December 10, 2003
(published at 4:00pm est. on Dec 9th for Dec 10th)
DOW's 10k level is tested as expected; the market,
however, shrunk away from it to regenerate buyer
interests at a lower support level. When it comes
back to retest the 10k level again, it will be for
the purpose of running through it for the higher
target of 10130. Lending credence to this scenario
is Fed's latest decision to leave yet again its
interest rate unchanged at the 45-year low of 1%, as
lower interest rate usually fuels and sustains the
buying of stocks. Meanwhile, the low US rate also
locks in the USD worth at the historical low level,
making it that much less attractive to yield
seekers. With the exception of CAD, most majors
continued to firm up against USD during Tuesday
session, posturing more advance to come in the next
session as well. If buyers continue to go long with
the majors, sellers would be better off to hold off
their temptation at the next key technical levels of
EUR 1.2650, GBP 1.7570, SWF 1.2420, JPY 104.80, AUD
0.7550,
and
CAD 1.2880.
CAD's hourly buy signal has lid up after it was sold
through the 1.3080 level early in the last session
to threaten the 1.3150 resistance. With this hourly
signal lighting the way, we will cautiously time our
next buy entry at 1.3200. Stay tuned.
Bought CAD at 1.3080, and cut loss at 1.3130.
Bought GBP at 1.7470,
RRR-50/+50pts,
or settle profit by close.
Wait to sell JPY at 104.80, RRR-50/+200pts,
or settle profit by close.
Wait to sell EUR at 1.2650, RRR-50/+200pts,
or settle profit by close.
Wait to sell GBP at 1.7570, RRR-50/+200pts,
or settle profit by close.
Wait to sell SWF at 1.2420, RRR-50/+100pts,
or settle profit by close. | |